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    Bitcoin Analysis

    Bitcoin Risk Index

    Know where we are in the Bitcoin cycle. Our risk index combines MVRV, NUPL, and other on-chain metrics to signal tops and bottoms.

    BTC Risk DashboardUpdated Live
    62
    Moderate Risk
    Scale: 0 (Low) - 100 (High)
    2.4
    MVRV Z-Score
    0.58
    NUPL
    1.2
    Puell Multiple
    0.008
    Reserve Risk
    Mid-Cycle Position

    Historically, similar readings preceded continued upside.

    Time the Cycle

    On-chain metrics have historically predicted major tops and bottoms

    Composite Risk Score

    Our proprietary algorithm combines multiple on-chain and market metrics into a single 0-100 risk score.

    MVRV Ratio

    Market Value to Realized Value ratio helps identify when Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its cost basis.

    NUPL Indicator

    Net Unrealized Profit/Loss shows whether holders are in profit or loss, indicating market tops and bottoms.

    Multiple Metrics

    Combines MVRV, NUPL, Puell Multiple, Reserve Risk, and more into one easy-to-read dashboard.

    Historical Accuracy

    Backtested across multiple cycles. See exactly when the index signaled tops and bottoms historically.

    What's Included

    Real-time BTC risk score (0-100)
    MVRV Z-Score tracking
    NUPL indicator with zones
    Puell Multiple analysis
    Historical comparison charts
    Cycle position indicator

    Don't Miss the Top

    Use data-driven analysis to know when to accumulate and when to take profits.